No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $2.72
Polymarket Trader
lavender859florence
0xb7fe841e50323d4ef0abf453cb2b41836dda1d15
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $7.04
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $1.96
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $2.72
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $1.96
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will GPT-5 be released on August 15 or later?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 87°F or higher on August 13?
Ends Aug 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 9% 60 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 9% 70 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 33% 7 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 32% 7 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 93.9% 47 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 48 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 97% 50 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 58% 8 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 57% 34 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 6% 20 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 39% 49 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 35% 49 shares