Polymarket Trader

XXB

@chsndw

0xb809ed9c88b2bf266a29dab9eb23358dad2d1d46

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $30.2
Realized PnL: $596.54
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $11.7

Yes position

Argentina leading at halftime?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $17.2
Potential payout: $44.67
Potential profit: $27.47
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $82.36

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.06

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.16

Yes position

Jordan leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.75

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.57

Yes position

Mexico leading at halftime?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.62

Yes position

Portugal leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.22

Yes position

England vs. Ghana: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.93

No position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.64

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

Yes position

Colombia vs. Portugal: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.37

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.23

Yes position

Norway leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.96

Yes position

Czechia leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.98

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.07

Yes position

Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.1

Yes position

Austria leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.23

Yes position

Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440 by December 31, 2026?

No 0.1% 1,300 shares
Argentina leading at halftime?

Yes 38% 3.36 shares
Argentina leading at halftime?

Yes 39% 48.03 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

50.3% 39.6 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

35.1% 39.6 shares
DR Congo to win the second half?

Yes 11% 81.82 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 25% 37.86 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 23% 37.87 shares
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5

Over 27% 33.77 shares
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5

Over 27% 33.78 shares
England leading at halftime?

Yes 21% 45.48 shares
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

No 5.6% 74.22 shares