Polymarket Trader

Feracios

0xb8160e163095a36c657deb0a436ccc9e67f39e90

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $299.85
Realized PnL: $15.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $299.85
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $0.15
User PnL: $6.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$11.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$11.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$11.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$11.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$11.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$11.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$11.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$11.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$11.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$11.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$11.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $978.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $891.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $836.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $799.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $794.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $773.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $697.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $695.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $683.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $661.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $473.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $468.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $428.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $391.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $361.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 96.6% 100.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 15.1% 185.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 18% 39.86 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 18.8% 74.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 93% 73.38 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 5% 314.96 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 90% 23.8 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 99% 499.71 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 37.2% 31.76 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 61% 37 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 85% 23.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 4.1% 301.46 shares