Polymarket Trader

0xb81A83e7378d922c3e59DFE2159459AC43106E4f-1761478118267

0xb81a83e7378d922c3e59dfe2159459ac43106e4f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.87
Realized PnL: $2.35
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.24
Potential profit: $102.24
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $46.09
Potential profit: $45.61
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13.72
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $9.65
Potential profit: $7.66
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $8.55
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $6.9
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $1.64
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $5.5
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $6.22
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $4.94
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $5.49
Potential profit: $0.47
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

No 96% 6.25 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 91% 5.49 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15?

Yes 97.3% 2.06 shares
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?

No 60% 3.33 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14% 7.14 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18% 5.56 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.4% 9.65 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.7% 37.04 shares
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1% 102.24 shares