Polymarket Trader

lenjun

0xb81d15d82ae0515fd8877738582f65088934ed68

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.56
Realized PnL: $44.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $85.33
Potential profit: $83.58
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$3.35

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.57
Potential profit: $48.57
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.11
Potential profit: $32.11
User PnL: -$2.89

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.5
Potential profit: $17.5
User PnL: -$2.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $11.39
Potential profit: $8.15
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.25
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.8
Potential profit: $6.8
User PnL: -$1.77

Tunisia position

Spread: Japan (-3.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$4.6

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$4.45

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.33
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 55.6%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $1.71
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $1.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.99

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.86

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

NRG position

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

paiN position

Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Alliance Guardians position

Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Legacy position

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Morocco position

Spread: Brazil (-2.5)

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

paiN position

Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 16?

Yes 40% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 16?

Yes 39% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 16?

Yes 38% 6.39 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 16?

Yes 5% 25.02 shares
Spread: Japan (-3.5)

Tunisia 92% 5 shares
Spread: Germany (-3.5)

Côte dIvoire 91% 5 shares
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)

Paraguay 92% 5 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 84% 5 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 65% 5 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

No 87% 5 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

No 88% 5 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 92% 5 shares