No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.82K
- Potential payout
- $2.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- User PnL
- $4.23
Polymarket Trader
MegaLucario
0xb826f58bad02ba95acaae4ae10a696ccbc4b4a07
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.82K
- Realized PnL
- $319.97
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.65
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.02
No position
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.82
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.35
No position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.54
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.81
No position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.27
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.94
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.09
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.86
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.28
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.13
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.89
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.63
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.43
Yes position
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.61
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59
No position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.43
No position
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.39
No position
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.8% 2,819.77 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No 99.8% 2,555.52 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 99.8% 2,800.07 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 380.05 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?No 99.9% 2,774.92 shares
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes 99.6% 2,772.19 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.9% 2,731.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 99.7% 2,708.6 shares
- Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?Yes 99.8% 2,471.46 shares
- Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?Yes 99.7% 228.98 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes 99.9% 2,646.84 shares
- Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?Yes 99.8% 1,800.2 shares