Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $31.18
- Potential payout
- $561.8
- Potential profit
- $530.62
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$18.82
Polymarket Trader
0xb82e...bc64
0xb82e1b169b476dd3e79b65cc8b4a15e43f81bc64
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $245.1
- Realized PnL
- $981.8
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $46.35
- Potential payout
- $561.8
- Potential profit
- $515.45
- Multiplier
- 12.12x
- User PnL
- -$3.65
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $43.81
- Potential payout
- $442.48
- Potential profit
- $398.67
- Multiplier
- 10.10x
- User PnL
- -$6.19
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $39.97
- Potential payout
- $290.7
- Potential profit
- $250.73
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$10.03
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $52.64
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $225.14
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- $2.64
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $31.15
- Potential payout
- $256.41
- Potential profit
- $225.26
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- -$68.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $397.31
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.73
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.73
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.86
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.54
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.95
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.38
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.98
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.91
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.19
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.53
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.58
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.73
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.85
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 59% 272.72 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 55% 272.73 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 38% 263.16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 39% 256.41 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 3.5% 856.86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 12.3% 407.43 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 21% 226.31 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 19% 226.32 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.3% 442.48 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.2% 290.7 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18% 277.78 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.9% 561.8 shares