Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $5.78
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Polymarket Trader
asfdt15
0xb83407a4c7daac66ebeae6a5a0c1e122f4ab57c2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $95.06
- Realized PnL
- $87.55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $37.93
- Potential payout
- $103.93
- Potential profit
- $66
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $14.7
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.6%
- Current value
- $14.87
- Potential payout
- $23.03
- Potential profit
- $8.16
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$3.21
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $17.22
- Potential payout
- $20.14
- Potential profit
- $2.92
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $2.65
- Potential payout
- $17.07
- Potential profit
- $14.42
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $10.84
- Potential payout
- $17.07
- Potential profit
- $6.23
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$3.03
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.9%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $6.89
- Potential profit
- $4.49
- Multiplier
- 2.87x
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $3.64
- Potential profit
- $1.62
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $1.36
- Potential payout
- $1.46
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.62
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25
No position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.97
Yes position
Will the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.89
No position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74
No position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
No position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65
Yes position
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Yes position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will Punxsutawney Phil see his shadow?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
$60k position
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 64.1% 0.37 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 36% 6.24 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 65.9% 3.08 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 37% 7.06 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 56% 3.64 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No 91.9% 0.33 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Yes 33.6% 0.47 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No 91.9% 1.58 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No 85.8% 2.2 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No 92.5% 1.28 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No 92.5% 3.38 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No 93% 0.2 shares