Polymarket Trader

EirikL

0xb83465ea10c45108c2fae896cecf238396ee7e1d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $44.47
Realized PnL: $1.07K
Win rate: 7.1%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.1K
Potential profit: $7.1K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $35.49
Potential payout: $4.73K
Potential profit: $4.7K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$64.51

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.87K
Potential profit: $3.87K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $893.33
Potential profit: $893.33
User PnL: -$103

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $575.44
Potential profit: $575.44
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $467.26
Potential profit: $467.26
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $252.13
Potential profit: $252.13
User PnL: -$10

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.77
Potential profit: $187.77
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $165.67
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.42
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $165.25
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.14
Potential profit: $137.14
User PnL: -$20.27

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $136
Potential profit: $135.32
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $123.63
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.67
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.46
Potential payout: $108.33
Potential profit: $106.87
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$11.54

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.36
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $81.97
Potential profit: $81.52
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.5
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.18
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 6?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Trump appoints special prosecutor for Epstein case in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.37

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$101

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.8% 125 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 6.4% 467.26 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?

Yes 3.9% 1,020.78 shares
Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?

Yes 4% 252.13 shares
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.5% 666.67 shares
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?

Yes 2.6% 378.29 shares
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?

Yes 3.8% 1,054.24 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 12% 108.33 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 17.4% 575.44 shares
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares