pmnewmm

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.47
Potential profit: $40.47
User PnL: -$2.63

Reyer Venezia position

Reyer Venezia vs. Aquila Basket Trento

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.68
Potential profit: $38.68
User PnL: -$6.54

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.53
Potential profit: $30.53
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 24-30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.78
Potential profit: $28.78
User PnL: -$5.87

No position

AWS service disrupted by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $28.71
Potential payout: $28.71
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $17.98

Yes position

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.04
Potential profit: $28.04
User PnL: -$1.8

Strasbourg position

Boulazac vs. Strasbourg

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.61
Potential profit: $27.61
User PnL: -$6.45

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.92
Potential profit: $26.92
User PnL: -$4.69

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 11AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.11
Potential profit: $25.11
User PnL: -$3.19

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have 190mm or more of precipitation in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.33
Potential profit: $21.33
User PnL: -$2.35

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have between 170-180mm of precipitation in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.33
Potential profit: $21.33
User PnL: -$2.35

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.33
Potential profit: $21.33
User PnL: -$2.76

Nanjing Monkey King position

Nanjing Monkey King vs. Beijing Ducks

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.45
Potential profit: $20.45
User PnL: -$4.21

Yes position

Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.4
Potential profit: $20.4
User PnL: -$5.46

Shanxi Loongs position

Shanxi Loongs vs. Shanghai Sharks

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.32
Potential profit: $20.32
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.04
Potential profit: $20.04
User PnL: -$2.61

Yes position

Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.3
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.45
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $1.46
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.54
Multiplier: 13.70x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win 115-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.84

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.89

Yes position

Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.7
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Israeli forces enter Beirut by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Atlanta Braves position

Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.65

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.16

Minnesota Twins position

Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.33

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.73

Yes position

Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33

TEAM ASCEND position

Counter-Strike: SAW vs TEAM ASCEND (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group B

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $5.33

Yes position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-03-27?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on March 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Penarol position

Independiente de Oliva vs. Penarol

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Obras position

Union De Santa Fe vs. Obras

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71

Sonic Boom position

KCC Egis vs. Sonic Boom

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36

Down position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on March 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Union De Santa Fe position

Union De Santa Fe vs. Obras

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.75

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74

Down position

XRP Up or Down - March 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

Yes position

Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.19

Gimnasia position

Obera TC vs. Gimnasia

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16

Derthona Basket position

Pallacanestro Varese vs. Derthona Basket

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.15

Notre Dame Fighting Irish position

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Vanderbilt Commodores (W)