No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $2.38M
- Potential profit
- $2.38M
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.75K
Polymarket Trader
0xb848f83664A8De21ce565B8FF3075a3798e062c0-1778624284403
0xb848f83664a8de21ce565b8ff3075a3798e062c0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.2K
- Realized PnL
- $4.41K
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.64
- Potential payout
- $13.28K
- Potential profit
- $13.27K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$223.34
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.55
- Potential payout
- $13.11K
- Potential profit
- $13.1K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.99K
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- User PnL
- -$500
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09K
No position
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $357.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $2.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$13.06
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 1,996,500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.6% 1,333.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 1% 384,078.68 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 1.9% 10,644.17 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 1.7% 1,300.58 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Yes 34% 1,470.59 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No 21% 4,084.47 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 30.5% 13,107.6 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No 12.2% 4,084.48 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 18.2% 4,410.74 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No 98.6% 4,436.72 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No 24% 16.67 shares