Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $675
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.32K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$847.99
Polymarket Trader
thelongx
0xb85a5e6b4b685b3ed693d7cbafcc4909fb9b50ea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.11K
- Realized PnL
- -$149.21
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $459
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $109
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $235
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- -$85
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $330
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $170
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $397.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $102.5
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $398.59
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$54.6
Yes position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$28.8
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$59
Yes position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $17
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.91
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,400 on the final trading day of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$299.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes 59% 100 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes 13% 200 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 28% 200 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 7% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 35% 100 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes 28% 38 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,400 on the final trading day of March 2026?Yes 72.5% 10 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 20% 10 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes 20% 100 shares
- Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Yes 14.6% 35.89 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes 19% 100 shares
- Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes 21% 100 shares