Polymarket Trader

0xb860...2778

0xb860a05210c9be135d4ff83e056525dc55d92778

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $1.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $247.97
Potential profit: $247.97
User PnL: -$24.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $247.97
Potential profit: $247.97
User PnL: -$24.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$9.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$9.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$9.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$9.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.22
Potential profit: $175.22
User PnL: -$87.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.01
Potential profit: $156.01
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.58
Potential profit: $155.58
User PnL: -$5.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.22
Potential profit: $155.22
User PnL: -$5.97

Yes position

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.59
Potential profit: $152.59
User PnL: -$76.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.83
Potential profit: $150.83
User PnL: -$5.8

Yes position

Will Montenegro win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.44
Potential profit: $131.44
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will Portugal win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.44
Potential profit: $131.44
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will United Kingdom win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.44
Potential profit: $131.44
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will Luxembourg win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.44
Potential profit: $131.44
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will Armenia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.44
Potential profit: $131.44
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will Germany win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.44
Potential profit: $131.44
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.44
Potential profit: $131.44
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will San Marino win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.44
Potential profit: $131.44
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.44
Potential profit: $131.44
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will Austria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.44
Potential profit: $131.44
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will Norway win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.44
Potential profit: $131.44
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will Czechia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.44
Potential profit: $131.44
User PnL: -$2.63

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.77

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.19

Yes position

Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.79

Yes position

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.14

No position

Will Albania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.09

Yes position

Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.81

No position

Will Albania come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.6

No position

Will Albania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.6

No position

Will Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.13

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.55

Yes position

Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.67

No position

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.94

No position

Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.09

No position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.09

Yes position

Will Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.18

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $46.79

No position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.18

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.52

No position

Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $29.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.92

No position

Will Albania come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 19% 7.8 shares
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 9% 14.25 shares
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 22% 8.76 shares
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 9.3% 28.28 shares
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 14% 10.83 shares
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 14% 7.15 shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

Yes 68% 9.18 shares
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 17% 7.15 shares
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 12% 10 shares
Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 19% 6 shares
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 6% 0.67 shares
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 8% 4.3 shares