Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.16
- Potential profit
- $7.16
- User PnL
- -$4.94
Polymarket Trader
0xb86ed1980ae42b710B2d9FBf4ABb4c4c8899e9E7-1765344655575
0xb86ed1980ae42b710b2d9fbf4abb4c4c8899e9e7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $26.78
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Angola win on 2025-12-26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.82
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- User PnL
- -$1
Tate position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.23
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.81
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $3.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
Yes position
Will there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
GPT ads by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETUp 0.9% 111.11 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETUp 40% 9.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETDown 69% 7.16 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETUp 35.1% 9.61 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETUp 51.2% 9.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETDown 7% 6.21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETDown 80% 6.21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETDown 61.2% 7.16 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETDown 69% 7.16 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETUp 92% 7.7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETUp 64% 7.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETDown 80% 12.01 shares