Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Current value
- $5.26K
- Potential payout
- $26.89K
- Potential profit
- $21.63K
- Multiplier
- 5.12x
- User PnL
- -$8.19K
Polymarket Trader
Atreides.
0xb8777c0b5bbd63926364113db51d8ee55512a13f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.89K
- Realized PnL
- $40.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $21.63K
- Potential payout
- $26.89K
- Potential profit
- $5.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $8.19K
Yes position
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.58K
- Potential profit
- $15.58K
- User PnL
- -$38.73
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get 67 million or more views on day 5?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.1K
- Potential profit
- $10.1K
- User PnL
- -$10.1
Chennai Super Kings position
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Delhi Capitals position
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.91K
- Potential profit
- $6.91K
- User PnL
- -$105.97
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get 75 million or more views on day 4?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.81K
- Potential profit
- $6.81K
- User PnL
- -$42.84
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 52 million views on day 3?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.51K
- Potential profit
- $6.51K
- User PnL
- -$44.38
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 81 million views on day 6?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.53K
- Potential profit
- $5.53K
- User PnL
- -$119.77
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get 81 million or more views on day 6?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.97K
- Potential profit
- $4.97K
- User PnL
- -$96.22
Gen.G Esports position
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winner
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.84K
- Potential profit
- $4.84K
- User PnL
- -$245.09
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 4?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.61K
- Potential profit
- $4.61K
- User PnL
- -$46.29
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$31.25
No position
Will MrBeast say "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.14K
- Potential profit
- $3.14K
- User PnL
- -$35.58
Yes position
Will MrBeast's video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 4?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.12K
- Potential profit
- $3.12K
- User PnL
- -$20.09
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.08K
- Potential profit
- $3.08K
- User PnL
- -$1.61K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 5?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.98K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- User PnL
- -$57.77
England position
T20 World Cup: England vs India
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- User PnL
- -$44.99
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$152.67
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 4?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.43K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- User PnL
- -$93.08
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.36K
- Potential profit
- $2.36K
- User PnL
- -$83.74
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 59 and 61 million views on day 4?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- User PnL
- -$152.85
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 69 million views on day 4?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.16K
- User PnL
- -$4.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.34K
Global Esports position
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81K
Mumbai Indians position
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
Gen.G Esports position
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winner
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
Yes position
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25–30 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Fnatic position
Valorant: T1 vs Fnatic (BO5)
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Royal Challengers Bangalore position
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $888.96
Nongshim RedForce position
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $840.56
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $822.57
Mumbai Indians position
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalore
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $762.55
Paper Rex position
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3)
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $760.32
Royal Challengers Bangalore position
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $759.63
Yes position
Will MrBeast's latest video get 18–20 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $726.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 5+ times during his next gaming YouTube video?No 1% 33.55 shares
- Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next gaming YouTube video?No 1% 35.19 shares
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 WinnerLeviatán Esports 99.8% 759.16 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 4?Yes 4% 53.55 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 51 million views on day 4?Yes 10.8% 90.32 shares
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex 99% 200 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Yes 11% 99.99 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No 20% 200 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No 24% 200 shares
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 WinnerDragon Ranger Gaming 2% 107.08 shares
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 WinnerDragon Ranger Gaming 1% 19.64 shares
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group StageFUT Esports 99.9% 2,495.16 shares