Yes position
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $708.17K
- Potential profit
- $707.11K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $354.09
Polymarket Trader
0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794
0xb886580698ede4b18de3e446b2d8da8bcedd81b3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $105.25K
- Realized PnL
- $189.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $38.14K
- Potential payout
- $577.82K
- Potential profit
- $539.68K
- Multiplier
- 15.15x
- User PnL
- -$7.07K
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $288.46K
- Potential profit
- $286.87K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$3.85K
Yes position
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $4.88K
- Potential payout
- $263.7K
- Potential profit
- $258.82K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $531.61
Yes position
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $320.44
- Potential payout
- $213.63K
- Potential profit
- $213.31K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$366.16
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $159.02K
- Potential profit
- $157.82K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$253.31
Yes position
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $228.31
- Potential payout
- $152.21K
- Potential profit
- $151.98K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$98.17
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $751.06
- Potential payout
- $115.55K
- Potential profit
- $114.8K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$92.32
Yes position
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $611.11
- Potential payout
- $111.11K
- Potential profit
- $110.5K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $55.67
Yes position
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $277.78
- Potential payout
- $111.11K
- Potential profit
- $110.83K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $55.56
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $758.99
- Potential payout
- $101.2K
- Potential profit
- $100.44K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$54.45
Yes position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $624.34
- Potential payout
- $96.05K
- Potential profit
- $95.43K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $61.38
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $11.41K
- Potential payout
- $91.28K
- Potential profit
- $79.87K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.65K
Yes position
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $527.2
- Potential payout
- $81.11K
- Potential profit
- $80.58K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$77.22
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.97K
- Potential payout
- $77.4K
- Potential profit
- $75.44K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$1.91K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $108.87
- Potential payout
- $72.58K
- Potential profit
- $72.47K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $36.29
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $460.54
- Potential payout
- $70.85K
- Potential profit
- $70.39K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$172.67
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $3.21K
- Potential payout
- $70.63K
- Potential profit
- $67.42K
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- $471.91
Yes position
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $450.46
- Potential payout
- $69.3K
- Potential profit
- $68.85K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$53.08
Yes position
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $202.39
- Potential payout
- $67.46K
- Potential profit
- $67.26K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $67.46
Yes position
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $164.17
- Potential payout
- $65.67K
- Potential profit
- $65.5K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $6.35K
- Potential payout
- $65.46K
- Potential profit
- $59.11K
- Multiplier
- 10.31x
- User PnL
- $1.91K
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $441.66
- Potential payout
- $58.89K
- Potential profit
- $58.45K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$19.9
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $29.53K
- Potential payout
- $56.25K
- Potential profit
- $26.72K
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $10.19K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.09K
Yes position
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.86K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.86K
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.25K
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.81K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.81K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.75K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.48K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.4K
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.29K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.22K
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.12K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.83K
Yes position
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05K
Yes position
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.07K
No position
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85K
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 30% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46K
Yes position
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $3.37K
Yes position
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96K
Yes position
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $2.75K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 10% 951.44 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 10.6% 5,321.66 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 57.6% 6,571.16 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yes 0.1% 4,306.19 shares
- Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 0.2% 9,556.4 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Yes 0.2% 300 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.1% 6,608.14 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 95% 2,222 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 18.5% 6.12 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Yes 0.2% 1,491.4 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes 7% 44.22 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 19.4% 40.8 shares