Yes position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $122.25
- Potential payout
- $81.5K
- Potential profit
- $81.38K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$40.75
Polymarket Trader
iusedtowritepoetryforaliving
@OxyPredicts
0xb89f5425341719d298dc2f5b9a92374f5fde1c44
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.36K
- Realized PnL
- $47.96K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $640.25
- Potential payout
- $28.46K
- Potential profit
- $27.82K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$298.9
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $425.06
- Potential payout
- $25.76K
- Potential profit
- $25.34K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $38.64
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $265.34
- Potential payout
- $18.3K
- Potential profit
- $18.03K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.66K
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $14.29
- Potential payout
- $9.53K
- Potential profit
- $9.51K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$24.28
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $8.41K
- Potential payout
- $8.75K
- Potential profit
- $336.94
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $511.71
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $47.94
- Potential payout
- $3.55K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$315.04
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Current value
- $323.81
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $2.52K
- Multiplier
- 8.77x
- User PnL
- $75.1
Yes position
Will Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $8.28
- Potential payout
- $2.37K
- Potential profit
- $2.36K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $2.26K
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $83.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $676.15
Yes position
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $1.65K
- Potential payout
- $2.18K
- Potential profit
- $522.54
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $455.03
Yes position
Will Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $7.25
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$32.72
No position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $94.64
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $311.44
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $25.36
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$56.05
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $1.54K
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $398.16
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $539.08
Yes position
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $107.46
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- -$636.2
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.69K
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $177.52
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $1.51K
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $148.94
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $188.02
No position
Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $1.38K
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $36.18
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $59.47
Yes position
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $12.53
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$71.61
Yes position
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $882.09
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $248.8
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $858.42
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $53.99
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $31.31
Yes position
Will Lew Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $13.71
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$7.36
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $66.97
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $963.38
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$28.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27K
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.12K
No position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59K
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54K
Yes position
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53K
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
Yes position
FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
Yes position
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
Yes position
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.99K
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92K
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.82K
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82K
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
Yes position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Amazon have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.1% 7.92 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.5% 25,761.24 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No 95% 5.01 shares
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94% 537.58 shares
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 93% 10.4 shares
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?Yes 8.8% 271.87 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 3.1% 3,533.74 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 3.7% 27.03 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 15% 100 shares
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No 38% 302.58 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 9% 683 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 11% 148.19 shares