No position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $171.45
- Potential payout
- $270
- Potential profit
- $98.55
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $39.15
Polymarket Trader
xfm-1-9
0xb8a065df295d5cc3f7f12f8d5ef3e25a8be98295
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $171.45
- Realized PnL
- -$59.92
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $68.15
No position
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $10.8
No position
Databricks IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.68
Yes position
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.9
Yes position
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$28.6
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$81.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No 49% 270 shares
- Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 54% 260 shares
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Yes 6.2% 46.09 shares
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Yes 6.3% 143.91 shares
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 21, 2026?Yes 51% 160 shares
- Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?No 61% 180 shares
- Databricks IPO before 2027?No 49% 190 shares
- Trump out as President before GTA VI?No 47% 185 shares
- Trump out as President before GTA VI?No 48% 185 shares
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No 99.8% 40 shares
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No 99.9% 40 shares