Polymarket Trader

Eastassignment

0xb8b00aa530a1e0a57003336259b2c1f5f3e41281

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $574.68
Realized PnL: $150.81
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

UK Recession in 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $215.69
Potential payout: $299.58
Potential profit: $83.88
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $24.44

Yes position

Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2027

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $181.39
Potential profit: $176.5
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$2.52

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $111
User PnL: -$37.74

Yes position

Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $40.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $59.5
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $8.5

No position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$35.1

No position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87
Potential profit: $87
User PnL: -$16.53

Yes position

Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $17.5
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $52.5
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$12.7

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?

Ends Jan 29, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $8.05
Potential payout: $64.41
Potential profit: $56.36
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$9.83

Yes position

Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?

Ends Jan 8, 2027

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $13.77
Potential payout: $62.58
Potential profit: $48.81
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$10.64

Yes position

Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%?

Ends Jan 19, 2027

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $60.67
Potential profit: $59.45
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $47.8
Potential payout: $54.95
Potential profit: $7.14
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $42.5
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$41.05

Yes position

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.8%
Current value: $7.38
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $42.63
Multiplier: 6.78x
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $46
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $4
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $42.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $7.75
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3.5%?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $8
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $42
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $10.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $39.75
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $20.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $29.75
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $5.25

No position

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $42.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $7.25
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$1.75

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $46.74
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$42.74

No position

Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 1.0%?

Ends Aug 12, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $22.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $17.4
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$15.8

Yes position

Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?

Ends Jan 8, 2027

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $38.03
Multiplier: 20.41x
User PnL: -$4.52

Yes position

Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $13.07
Potential payout: $33.95
Potential profit: $20.88
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$1.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: $45.4

Yes position

Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $18.2

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.74

Yes position

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in June?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.68

Yes position

Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.9%?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $12.2

Yes position

Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

Yes position

Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than or equal to 0.0%?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $5.52

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: June

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 6.6M and 6.7M in April?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.5% and 1.8%?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.96

Yes position

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in June?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.42

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Will Core CPI MoM be -0.2% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% or less in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 250 (High)?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

No 82.1% 50 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?

No 90% 137 shares
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals

No 72% 28 shares
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals

No 71% 25 shares
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals

No 70% 5 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

No 19% 11 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

No 34% 111 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

No 19% 76 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

No 39% 90 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

No 32% 79 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: June

Nothing 97.5% 40 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

No 33% 82 shares