Polymarket Trader

G7-Lee

0xb8b662c21e6088909a60232f901cb930f2637fc8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $314.13
Realized PnL: $454.74
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $49.24
Potential payout: $903.43
Potential profit: $854.2
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $15.56

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $57.25
Potential payout: $394.85
Potential profit: $337.6
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $116.45
Potential profit: $114.12
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $2.47
Potential payout: $105.29
Potential profit: $102.82
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $35.95
Potential payout: $98.49
Potential profit: $62.54
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $57.29
Potential payout: $61.27
Potential profit: $3.98
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $12.03

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $19.26
Potential payout: $55.84
Potential profit: $36.58
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $4.46

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $52.38
Potential profit: $51.96
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$0.68

No position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $34.54
Potential payout: $34.59
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $3.06

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $21.36
Potential payout: $24.27
Potential profit: $2.91
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.2

No position

Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $3.63
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $18.37
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $13.54
Potential payout: $17.25
Potential profit: $3.71
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $9.78
Potential profit: $7.92
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$0.34

No position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $4.04
Potential payout: $7.15
Potential profit: $3.11
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$0.32

No position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $3.51
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $5.02
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $3.74
Potential payout: $3.88
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.87

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.09

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.01

No position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.41

Yes position

Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.05

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.82

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.23

No position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.52

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.41

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.95

Yes position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.17

Yes position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.53

Yes position

Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.45

Yes position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.32

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.84

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.47

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.1

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.82

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.74

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.82

No position

Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 3.6% 29.17 shares
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 3.6% 29.17 shares
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 3.6% 29.17 shares
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 3.6% 29.17 shares
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 3.6% 29.17 shares
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 3.6% 29.17 shares
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 3.6% 29.17 shares
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 3.6% 29.17 shares
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 3.5% 30 shares
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 3.6% 29.17 shares
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 3.6% 29.17 shares
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 3.6% 29.17 shares