Polymarket Trader

ibuyculture

0xb8c4d38bafd351a12fdb96c3ed70fa13d29abda6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $721.48
Realized PnL: $1.1K
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $47.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.95K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.22K
User PnL: -$120.59

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $1.63K
User PnL: -$49.4

Yes position

Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $13.14
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$11.86

Yes position

Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $668.6
Potential profit: $668.6
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $33.22
Potential payout: $657.89
Potential profit: $624.67
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $8.22

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $588.24
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $15.83
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $539.72
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $5.83

No position

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $113.04
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $321.74
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $13.04

Yes position

Will Strasbourg win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $411.04
Potential profit: $411.04
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $21.79
Potential payout: $379.03
Potential profit: $357.23
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $1.79

Yes position

Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $91.07
Potential payout: $364.29
Potential profit: $273.21
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: $41.07

Yes position

Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $14.8
Potential payout: $360.89
Potential profit: $346.09
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$85.2

Yes position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $146.62
Potential payout: $308.67
Potential profit: $162.05
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$53.38

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $54.84
Potential payout: $255.08
Potential profit: $200.24
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $24.23

Yes position

Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $71.85
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $136.48
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $21.85

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $19.18
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $162.64
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $78.58
Potential payout: $146.87
Potential profit: $68.3
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$21.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.24

Yes position

Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-10-02?

Ends Oct 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.71

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $116.26

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-27?

Ends Sep 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.14

Yes position

Will Manchester City vs. Everton end in a draw?

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $73.99

Yes position

Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-10-03?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.46

Yes position

Will Villarreal vs. Juventus end in a draw?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.21

Yes position

Will Wolves vs. Brighton end in a draw?

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.07

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.07

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.93

Yes position

Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.28

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.44

No position

Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.6

No position

Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.48

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.05

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.67

No position

Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

No position

Trump out as President in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

Yes position

Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will TikTok be banned in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Portnoy give another 9+ review in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$13.75

No position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Yes 5.4% 2,217.36 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Yes 12% 255.08 shares
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 11.9% 256.41 shares
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 3.5% 554.29 shares
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 2.8% 1,080.35 shares
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-16?

Yes 16% 119.81 shares
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?

Yes 21% 238.1 shares
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?

Yes 53% 94.34 shares
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-14?

Yes 27% 185.19 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?

No 93% 215.05 shares
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?

Yes 15% 668.6 shares
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Yes 2% 1,251.06 shares