No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.75K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $250
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $300
Polymarket Trader
tradewife
0xb8d14d0488bee8a3f1403d118ba876f2e6ee40c3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.89K
- Realized PnL
- $38.89K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $997.89
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- User PnL
- $155.85
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $145
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $855
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$315
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $998.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- User PnL
- $98.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Tien position
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tien
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.66K
Pegula position
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.54K
Djokovic position
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98K
Alcaraz position
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89K
Djokovic position
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Wang position
Australian Open Women's: Xinyu Wang vs Amanda Anisimova
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Svitolina position
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
Down position
Solana Up or Down - November 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
Minaur position
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Anisimova position
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimova
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Muchova position
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchova
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10AM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Keys position
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Down position
Solana Up or Down - December 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Ruud position
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruud
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.6% 1,335.34 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.6% 6,857.43 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?Down 51% 50 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?Down 49% 200 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?Down 50% 200 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?Down 38% 100 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?Up 47% 200 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?Up 46% 200 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?Down 54% 200 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?Down 54% 200 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?Down 27% 100 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?Down 52% 100 shares