Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $57.71
- Potential payout
- $144.27
- Potential profit
- $86.56
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Polymarket Trader
houzhipeng3687
0xb8d861d507cac6044d10c06831e7a882d70c31f1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $290
- Realized PnL
- $438.67
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $80.65
- Potential payout
- $144.02
- Potential profit
- $63.37
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $9.23
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $41.69
- Potential payout
- $102.94
- Potential profit
- $61.25
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $6.69
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $51.77
- Potential payout
- $102.51
- Potential profit
- $50.74
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $56.88
- Potential payout
- $62.16
- Potential profit
- $5.28
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.07
- Potential profit
- $5.07
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4.97
SpaceX position
SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $1.31
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.15
Up position
XRP Up or Down - December 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on November 28?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5PM ET
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.52
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.4
Up position
Solana Up or Down - September 18, 9AM ET
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.2
Up position
Solana Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ET
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?SpaceX 99% 1.31 shares
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 41% 42 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 90% 21 shares
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 41% 52.27 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 47% 107.35 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 74% 100.45 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 94% 71.59 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 35% 13.28 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 41% 26.72 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 57.5% 31.67 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 99% 71.42 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 59% 40 shares