Polymarket Trader

0xB8d9aABAA22D4912E845e3E08459A340b6E2B94C-1765028415851

0xb8d9aabaa22d4912e845e3e08459a340b6e2b94c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.96
Realized PnL: $148.24
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $418.31
Potential profit: $418.31
User PnL: -$19.23

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.93
Potential profit: $137.93
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $7.27
Potential payout: $92.59
Potential profit: $85.32
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: -$2.73

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.89
Potential profit: $66.89
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$10

No position

Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.6
Potential profit: $26.6
User PnL: -$6.65

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $21.51
Potential profit: $19.71
Multiplier: 11.98x
User PnL: -$18.2

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.75
Potential profit: $18.75
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.9%
Current value: $2.9
Potential payout: $3.15
Potential profit: $0.26
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.26

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.76

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.81

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.52

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.8% 92.59 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Yes 95.2% 3.15 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 93% 21.51 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

No 84% 59.52 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 31% 16.13 shares
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?

Yes 4.6% 418.31 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

No 82% 98.95 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

Yes 4% 750 shares
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Yes 33% 30.3 shares
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Yes 74% 13.51 shares
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Yes 29% 137.93 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Yes 20.2% 24.76 shares