No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
luigivin
0xb8da196beb732f54c1658932c7eb4de471c6b692
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.65
- Realized PnL
- $32.77
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.6%
- Current value
- $4.71
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.29
- Multiplier
- 4.25x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $12.99
- Potential profit
- $3.05
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.41
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.84
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.58
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.66
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?Yes 68% 12.99 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?Yes 18% 20 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?Yes 47% 29.35 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?Yes 38% 49.68 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?Yes 57% 29.36 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?Yes 11% 6.85 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?Yes 99.9% 19.55 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?Yes 6.3% 88.55 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?Yes 4.5% 21.9 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?Yes 56% 19.56 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?Yes 4.4% 66.65 shares