Polymarket Trader

0xb8E2a2ee54E707926dc732C43032B2d3C5987dF9-1767613269797

0xb8e2a2ee54e707926dc732c43032b2d3c5987df9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $300.68
Realized PnL: $328.19
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $164.43
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $6.83K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $44.44

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $808.86
Potential profit: $808.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.3%
Current value: $127.48
Potential payout: $662.25
Potential profit: $534.77
Multiplier: 5.19x
User PnL: $27.48

Yes position

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $221.58
Potential profit: $221.58
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.21
Potential profit: $151.21
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.06
Potential profit: $143.06
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.65
Potential profit: $112.65
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.32
Potential profit: $109.32
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.82
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $55
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$6.18

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.3
Potential profit: $42.3
User PnL: -$12.27

Yes position

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $35.83
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$1.33

Yes position

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.03
Potential profit: $32.03
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $3.28
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $27.97
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$6.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.67

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.22

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.73

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.71

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.34

Yes position

Will crypto payment cards volume hit $1.5B by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.18

Yes position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.95

Yes position

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 8, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 6,470.59 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.1% 662.25 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 526.32 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 63% 158.73 shares
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?

Yes 67% 1.49 shares
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Inter Miami CF next?

Yes 6.5% 30.89 shares
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

Yes 1.8% 112.65 shares
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Yes 6% 33.33 shares
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Yes 4.8% 20.83 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11.2% 8.9 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?

Yes 1.7% 100.99 shares