Polymarket Trader

darth-m

0xb8e3d389a189ec66a613cdbea07e4738aa04545d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $958.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $792.52
Potential profit: $792.52
User PnL: -$741.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $475
Potential profit: $475
User PnL: -$4.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.84
Potential profit: $95.84
User PnL: -$19.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.69
Potential profit: $87.69
User PnL: -$12.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.03
Potential profit: $87.03
User PnL: -$82.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.83
Potential profit: $81.83
User PnL: -$80.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.53
Potential profit: $75.53
User PnL: -$72.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.76
Potential profit: $70.76
User PnL: -$47.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.71
Potential profit: $70.71
User PnL: -$69.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.2
Potential profit: $40.2
User PnL: -$9.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.03
Potential profit: $39.03
User PnL: -$37.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.35
Potential profit: $36.35
User PnL: -$20.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.51
Potential profit: $35.51
User PnL: -$34.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.74
Potential profit: $33.74
User PnL: -$31.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.29
Potential profit: $31.29
User PnL: -$24.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.32
Potential profit: $30.32
User PnL: -$9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $29
User PnL: -$20.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.2
Potential profit: $28.2
User PnL: -$18.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.4
Potential profit: $27.4
User PnL: -$14.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.49
Potential profit: $26.49
User PnL: -$20.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.16
Potential profit: $25.16
User PnL: -$20.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$4.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.23
Potential profit: $24.23
User PnL: -$18.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $23.53
User PnL: -$20.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.24

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.97

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $44.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.98

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.17

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.96

Yes position

Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 30% in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.38

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.91

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Alcaraz position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.29

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Down 98% 108.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Down 98% 82.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Down 96.9% 63.35 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Down 97% 47.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Down 97% 36.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Down 95% 29.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Down 95% 21.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Up 99% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Down 94% 36.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Down 95% 28.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Down 94% 21.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Down 95% 20.84 shares