Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $115
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.89K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $15
Polymarket Trader
MrNFT
0xb8e69b66c2a4d26db7b602d8f170dfb46b8f9767
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.81K
- Realized PnL
- $28.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $1.67K
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $5.33K
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- -$1.83K
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.2%
- Current value
- $5.33K
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $355.79
- Potential payout
- $5.93K
- Potential profit
- $5.57K
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$582.34
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $71.53
- Potential payout
- $3.87K
- Potential profit
- $3.79K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$5.78
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $411.79
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.09K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.1%
- Current value
- $809.1
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- Multiplier
- 2.77x
- User PnL
- $432.01
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $91.88
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- $32.69
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $201.2
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $830.57
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$36.11
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $11.87
- Potential payout
- $719.31
- Potential profit
- $707.44
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$182.35
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $126.64
- Potential payout
- $703.53
- Potential profit
- $576.89
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $63.32
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $280.88
- Potential payout
- $497.22
- Potential profit
- $216.34
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $57.13
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $402.21
- Potential payout
- $454.48
- Potential profit
- $52.27
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $283.94
Down position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $93.21
- Potential payout
- $433.52
- Potential profit
- $340.31
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.17
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $79.31
- Potential payout
- $332.54
- Potential profit
- $253.23
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $19.13
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $136.5
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $163.5
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$85.5
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.3%
- Current value
- $237.94
- Potential payout
- $275.71
- Potential profit
- $37.77
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $190.04
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $3.01
- Potential payout
- $241.16
- Potential profit
- $238.15
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.9%
- Current value
- $143.7
- Potential payout
- $214.96
- Potential profit
- $71.26
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $83.48
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $69.36
- Potential payout
- $150.78
- Potential profit
- $81.42
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $2.57
- Potential payout
- $139
- Potential profit
- $136.43
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $12.15
- Potential payout
- $135
- Potential profit
- $122.85
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$72.7
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $84.69
- Potential payout
- $112.17
- Potential profit
- $27.48
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $40.94
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $70.99
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $29
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.77K
Yes position
Ethereum all time high before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $932.14
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2700 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $921.4
No position
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $909.46
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $801.85
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $755
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $741.28
Yes position
Will Solana reach $160 in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $738.24
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $712.41
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $711.99
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $699.21
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $695.4
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $598.31
Yes position
US national XRP reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $578.95
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $576.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Down 22% 433.52 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 40.3% 65 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?No 99.6% 19.48 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 15.8% 1,000 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 0.1% 426.69 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 22.7% 149.96 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 62% 97 shares
- Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?No 78% 50 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 8% 244.37 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 20% 1,000 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?No 28% 102.2 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes 98.9% 197.97 shares