No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Polymarket Trader
kasper364clifford
0xb8ead3f91ba2cdbc56207d07a7675ba0777026e3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $4.37
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $79000 and $81000 on Mar 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $79000 and $81000 on Mar 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Fluminense win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
MicroStrategy purchases >8000 BTC July 1-7?
Ends Jul 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Ken Paxton be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will XRP reach $3.10 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will 'Novocaine' gross more than 11m on opening weekend?
Ends Mar 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 89% 35 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 86% 9 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 86% 33 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 42% 47 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 42% 47 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 67% 17 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 41% 36 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 41% 36 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 65% 51 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 63% 51 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 17% 65 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 17% 20 shares