Yes position
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.68
- Potential payout
- $13.35K
- Potential profit
- $13.35K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.59K
Polymarket Trader
0xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-1765943326811
0xb8ee94bd599a92d4747dda5f3bc6d2b243349e81
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.39K
- Realized PnL
- $49.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $10.64K
- Potential payout
- $12.89K
- Potential profit
- $2.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.86K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.5K
- Potential profit
- $8.5K
- User PnL
- -$109.45
Yes position
Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.98K
- Potential profit
- $7.98K
- User PnL
- -$17.89
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.45K
- Potential profit
- $7.45K
- User PnL
- -$195.96
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $53.01
- Potential payout
- $7.07K
- Potential profit
- $7.01K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$936.11
Yes position
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.28K
- Potential profit
- $6.28K
- User PnL
- -$2.55K
Yes position
Ronald Araújo: 1+ goals
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.94K
- Potential profit
- $5.94K
- User PnL
- -$89.19
No position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.93K
- Potential profit
- $5.93K
- User PnL
- -$426.66
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $226.62
- Potential payout
- $5.81K
- Potential profit
- $5.58K
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$728.56
No position
Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.4K
- Potential profit
- $5.4K
- User PnL
- -$119.61
Yes position
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.28K
- Potential profit
- $5.28K
- User PnL
- -$518.92
Yes position
Will XRP reach $2.00 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.19K
- Potential profit
- $5.19K
- User PnL
- -$145.74
Yes position
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.03K
- Potential profit
- $5.03K
- User PnL
- -$33.91
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.95K
- Potential profit
- $4.95K
- User PnL
- -$64.29
Yes position
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.4K
- Potential profit
- $4.4K
- User PnL
- -$8.8
Yes position
Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.36K
- Potential profit
- $4.36K
- User PnL
- -$113.73
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.12K
- Potential profit
- $4.12K
- User PnL
- -$296.04
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.98K
- Potential profit
- $3.98K
- User PnL
- -$151.22
Over position
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.79K
- Potential profit
- $3.79K
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
No position
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.65K
- Potential profit
- $3.65K
- User PnL
- -$45.93
Yes position
Will XRP reach $1.80 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.55K
- Potential profit
- $3.55K
- User PnL
- -$36.61
Yes position
Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.55K
- Potential profit
- $3.55K
- User PnL
- -$158.32
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- User PnL
- -$13.76
Yes position
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $24.2
- Potential payout
- $3.46K
- Potential profit
- $3.43K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$229.21
Yes position
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.25K
- Potential profit
- $3.25K
- User PnL
- -$33.48
No position
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13K
- Potential profit
- $3.13K
- User PnL
- -$746.07
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.02K
- Potential profit
- $3.02K
- User PnL
- -$574.32
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$38.47
No position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$2.73K
Yes position
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.64K
- Potential profit
- $2.64K
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
Yes position
Will XRP reach $1.80 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $2.51K
- User PnL
- -$78.92
No position
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $2.44K
- Potential payout
- $2.49K
- Potential profit
- $47.25
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $465.63
No position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.46K
- Potential profit
- $2.46K
- User PnL
- -$4.92
Yes position
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $2.41K
- User PnL
- -$848.91
Yes position
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.39K
- User PnL
- -$20.1
Yes position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- User PnL
- -$1.05K
Yes position
Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.35K
- Potential profit
- $2.35K
- User PnL
- -$34.78
Yes position
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.23K
- Potential profit
- $2.23K
- User PnL
- -$1.94K
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- User PnL
- -$140.12
No position
Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- User PnL
- -$465.54
Yes position
Will Lithuania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- User PnL
- -$6.19
Barça eSports position
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Regular Season
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Under position
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- User PnL
- -$574.46
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- User PnL
- -$40.01
Y
Yes position
Spain leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
No position
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- User PnL
- -$292.76
Yes position
Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- User PnL
- -$37.72
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- User PnL
- -$270.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.08K
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62K
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.47K
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2K
Yes position
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44K
Yes position
Will Trump attend UFC 327?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Yes position
Will UCLA win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
San Francisco Giants position
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $950.15
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $818.02
No position
Will the fight be won by submission?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $677.42
No position
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $665.54
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $643.12
Over position
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $614.78
No position
Will Japan make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $566.51
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $536.55
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $529.35
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $517.09
Yes position
Will JT Poston win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $503.18
No position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $495.89
Over position
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $489.71
England position
Spread: England (-2.5)
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $489.17
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $460
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $452.85
Yes position
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440.9
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $436.41
Andrea Guerrieri position
Rome: Federico Bondioli vs Andrea Guerrieri
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395.89
Ekaterina Maklakova position
ITF Wuning: Ekaterina Maklakova vs Rina Saigo
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $374.16
Yes position
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $363.23
Yes position
Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344.31
Yes position
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.64
No position
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.22
No position
Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $326.54
No position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $324.25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.13
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.4
Hurricanes position
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.01
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.86
No position
Will "Reminders of Him" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.01
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $259.99
Daniil Medvedev position
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.45
Yes position
Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.52
Hurricanes position
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5Over 73% 50 shares
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5Over 75% 50 shares
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5Over 46.5% 50 shares
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5Over 73% 50 shares
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Colombia 6% 50 shares
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Colombia 16.2% 27.64 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?No 10% 131.7 shares
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Colombia 18.3% 14 shares
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5Under 8% 37 shares
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Uzbekistan 55% 50 shares
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Uzbekistan 55% 35 shares
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5Under 8% 13 shares