Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $199.41
- Potential payout
- $204
- Potential profit
- $4.59
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $12.14
Polymarket Trader
HyperKetchup
0xb8fffb239d7dfb281ca5da0d8e5b79be695b973e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $200.66
- Realized PnL
- $182.89
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $75.89
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or higher on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $58
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Yes position
Will Kanye West have a #1 hit in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $37.87
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $27
- User PnL
- -$2.03
No position
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$22.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.51
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.96
No position
Will La U win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Iran strike Afghanistan by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- No one announced as next James Bond?Yes 91.8% 118 shares
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?No 2.6% 76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?No 95.9% 23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or higher on May 23?Yes 2.1% 22.43 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No 98.6% 84 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No 98.6% 84 shares
- Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No 98.2% 84 shares
- Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No 98.1% 84 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No 93.5% 80 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No 93.5% 88 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No 98.1% 76 shares
- Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No 98.3% 76 shares