Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $94.58
- Potential payout
- $185.44
- Potential profit
- $90.87
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$55.57
Polymarket Trader
mackchicken
0xb91b560edbe224833c2207e1396ff760c6df29a7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $370.38
- Realized PnL
- $34.67
- Win rate
- 78.9%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $94.76
- Potential payout
- $95
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- User PnL
- $26.1
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $89.73
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- User PnL
- $18.63
Yes position
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $26.09
- Potential payout
- $64.42
- Potential profit
- $38.33
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$11.72
No position
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $56.37
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $8.13
No position
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$15.4
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$12.4
Yes position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $17.14
- Potential profit
- $17.09
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$9.99
No position
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $8.8
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.2
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.28
No position
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.9
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Russia enter Svitle by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 81% 1.01 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 80% 9.7 shares
- Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?No 82% 7 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes 87% 7.7 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?Yes 73% 15.64 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?Yes 36% 5 shares
- Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?No 95% 40 shares
- Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?No 95% 40 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes 86% 10.99 shares
- Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?No 95% 10 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?Yes 55% 8 shares
- Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?No 95% 5 shares