Polymarket Trader

kevin411

@zhkevin411

0xb920b74167dbc7a77744c9a809e16ef012160ee7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $28.88
Realized PnL: $1.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $824.92
Potential profit: $824.92
User PnL: -$16.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 35.8%
Current value: $21.45
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $38.55
Multiplier: 2.80x
User PnL: $5.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Current value: $7.43
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $42.58
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: $3.43

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.85
Potential profit: $23.85
User PnL: -$10.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.18
Potential profit: $20.18
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.63
Potential profit: $18.63
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $11.36
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.81
Potential profit: $7.81
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.46
Potential profit: $7.46
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.94
Potential profit: $6.94
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.49
Potential profit: $6.49
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.95

Hawks position

Warriors vs. Hawks

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.15

Hawks position

Spread: Hawks (-10.5)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.98

Raptors position

Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68.95

Pistons position

Warriors vs. Pistons

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $59.53

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.4

Magic position

Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.9

Hawks position

Spread: Hawks (-9.5)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.06

Timberwolves position

Spread: Celtics (-10.5)

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.39

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.89

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

Pistons position

Spread: Pistons (-5.5)

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.28

Clippers position

Spread: Clippers (-11.5)

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.74

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.8

76ers position

76ers vs. Kings

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Up 77% 6.49 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Down 24% 8.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Down 56% 8.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Up 53% 9.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Up 50% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Down 44% 11.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Down 89% 11.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Down 64% 7.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Down 74% 13.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Down 75% 6.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Down 63% 7.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Down 94% 5.32 shares