Polymarket Trader

0nk0nf0rm0d

0xb93e593149b39a99018f0bd12d41dbb7f827195e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.65K
Realized PnL: $207.45
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $216.41
Potential payout: $721.36
Potential profit: $504.95
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$21.59

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $127.95
Potential payout: $619.61
Potential profit: $491.66
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: $41.43

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $3.96
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $412.71
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $7.79
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $286.32
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $2.79

Yes position

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.6%
Current value: $227.23
Potential payout: $248.2
Potential profit: $20.97
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $121.3

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $38.02
Potential payout: $238.34
Potential profit: $200.33
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: -$6.98

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $60.95
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $169.05
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$18.8

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $219.25
Potential payout: $229.82
Potential profit: $10.57
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $19.25

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $161
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $39
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $11.65
Potential payout: $199.1
Potential profit: $187.45
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$6.07

No position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 84.4%
Current value: $164.92
Potential payout: $195.51
Potential profit: $30.6
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $3.21

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $158.13
Potential payout: $184.94
Potential profit: $26.82
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$3.47

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $145.99
Potential payout: $176.96
Potential profit: $30.97
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$7.96

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $2.19
Potential payout: $162.5
Potential profit: $160.31
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127
Potential profit: $127
User PnL: -$5

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $97.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $2.85
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Canada?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.45
Potential profit: $57.45
User PnL: -$35.68

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$8.25

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.99
Potential profit: $54.99
User PnL: -$1.59

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $4.57
Potential payout: $39.76
Potential profit: $35.19
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.55
Potential profit: $27.55
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $23.26
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.89

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.92

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.08

No position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.28

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.63

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.31

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.34

Yes position

Will Boston Legacy FC win on 2026-05-12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $2.18

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Germany end in a draw?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$4.48

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.54

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.9

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Canada?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 39% 25.64 shares
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

No 83.4% 26.65 shares
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

No 83.7% 119.48 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 86% 83.27 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 454.54 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 17.8% 224.72 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 87% 114.94 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

No 87% 229.82 shares
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Yes 34.7% 230 shares
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Yes 43% 232.82 shares
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Yes 40% 8 shares