Polymarket Trader

MAX-FIRE

0xb9434f31ced26fc6e2023de94a93ebcbd9672618

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.43
Realized PnL: $10.1
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $230 and $240 on October 7?

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.79
Potential profit: $32.79
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be above $3.00 on October 7?

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.89
Potential profit: $22.89
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $190 and $200 on October 20?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.25
Potential profit: $20.25
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Solana Up or Down on October 9?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12?

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.07
Potential profit: $9.07
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Solana Up or Down on October 12?

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.49
Potential profit: $6.49
User PnL: -$5

ETH position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.98
Potential profit: $5.98
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Solana Up or Down - November 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $210 on October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Up position

Solana Up or Down - November 9, 7AM ET

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

Down position

Solana Up or Down - October 24, 9AM ET

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Up position

Solana Up or Down - October 23, 9AM ET

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $180 on October 22?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $190 and $200 on October 14?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.91

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 14?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Solana Up or Down - November 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Up 70% 1.43 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?

Yes 62% 16.13 shares
Solana Up or Down - November 9, 7AM ET

Up 66% 3.03 shares
Solana Up or Down - October 24, 9AM ET

Down 52% 1.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?

Up 98.7% 27.86 shares
Solana Up or Down - October 23, 9AM ET

Up 96% 10.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Down 83% 6.02 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Up 96% 5.21 shares
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

ETH 50.2% 5.98 shares
Will the price of Solana be above $180 on October 22?

Yes 94.5% 5.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Down 76% 1.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Up 76% 6.58 shares