No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.22K
- Potential profit
- $96.22K
- User PnL
- -$227.84
Polymarket Trader
0xB943c91557ecE0D6a62044D00ec9664AaF079bbe-1777320000365
0xb943c91557ece0d6a62044d00ec9664aaf079bbe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.14K
- Realized PnL
- $84.52
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $802.63
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $643.55
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$37.37
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $123.23
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $882.71
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$26.71
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $136.55
- Potential payout
- $815.22
- Potential profit
- $678.67
- Multiplier
- 5.97x
- User PnL
- -$13.45
Yes position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $199.55
- Potential payout
- $307
- Potential profit
- $107.45
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $72.45
- Potential payout
- $204.08
- Potential profit
- $131.63
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$27.55
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $162.11
- Potential payout
- $162.19
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $45.36
No position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $113.09
- Potential payout
- $123.6
- Potential profit
- $10.51
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.09
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $12.36
- Potential payout
- $117.69
- Potential profit
- $105.33
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $110.59
- Potential payout
- $115.56
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $85.37
- Potential payout
- $97.56
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $5.37
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $91.65
- Potential payout
- $93.85
- Potential profit
- $2.21
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.65
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $35
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $55.91
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $71.77
- Potential payout
- $78.44
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $21.77
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $63.42
- Potential payout
- $75.95
- Potential profit
- $12.53
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $3.42
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $48.02
- Potential payout
- $54.88
- Potential profit
- $6.86
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.02
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $9.66
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $13.07
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.55
- Potential profit
- $13.55
- User PnL
- -$9.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $21.43
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.13
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.46
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.78
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.02
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
No position
Will Russia capture Toretske by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 57% 285.96 shares
- Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes 65.7% 152.23 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.4% 815.22 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 13% 117.69 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 125 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 59% 167.8 shares
- Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes 64.6% 154.77 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 44% 90.91 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 14.3% 697.66 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 59% 508.47 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 49% 204.08 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 65% 46.13 shares