Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $1.46K
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$254.2
Polymarket Trader
JohnAdams54321
0xb94b4d99c69420b7daf0b9814daf558626b1a02b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.46K
- Realized PnL
- $47.99K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.59K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.17K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.65K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.22K
Alaska position
Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12K
No position
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Republican position
House control after 2024 election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
Ends Dec 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
Will Biden speak at the DNC?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $883.75
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $857.23
Yes position
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $661
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $578.43
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.78
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.88
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.69
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.8
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.88
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.96
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.92
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.94
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes 99.4% 1,035.83 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes 69.2% 400 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes 70% 300 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes 96.9% 1,035.83 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 93% 1,300 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?Yes 95% 293.52 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?Yes 96.9% 2,136.09 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?Yes 93% 32.32 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 9% 12,044.3 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes 95.2% 55.83 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes 95% 39 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes 95% 124.89 shares