Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $243.29
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $31.19
Polymarket Trader
kw90
0xb95f57cb31405cd338d5ccafec74a5a56ba0d6b0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1K
- Realized PnL
- $133.94
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.23
- Potential profit
- $18.23
- User PnL
- -$9.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.95
- Potential profit
- $13.95
- User PnL
- -$9.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.49
Yes position
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $31.03
No position
Will Trump say "Black" or "Hispanic" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.84
No position
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $7.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.1
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $4.7
Yes position
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $4.2
Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Yes position
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $2.12
Yes position
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
Ends Sep 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Yes position
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $1.71
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 78% 700 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETUp 50.9% 9.52 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETDown 99.1% 6.87 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETDown 72% 6.8 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETUp 39.5% 24.58 shares
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Yes 10% 15.92 shares
- Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Yes 27% 20.18 shares
- Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No 36% 5.95 shares
- Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?Yes 9% 20 shares
- Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Yes 9% 20 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Yes 10% 5 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No 61% 0.25 shares