Polymarket Trader

Twy10

0xb961d82da97cbc8f8a4c71e6562bca145e18d074

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0.21
Realized PnL: $96.93
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Warren Buffett Index have the best performance for the week of December 22?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will I Love L.A. be nominated for Best Ensemble in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Deep Cover win Best Movie Made for Television at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.3

Over position

Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.85

No position

Will Jayden Schaper win the DP AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.25

Yes position

Will Train Dreams - Nick Cave & Bryce Dessner win Best Song at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Jason Mikesell win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Alicia Bárcena be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $9.67
Potential profit: $9.66
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.88
Potential profit: $7.88
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will JD Gaming win Demacia Cup 2025?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.44
Potential profit: $7.44
User PnL: -$1.49

Yes position

Will Carrie Preston win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.27
Potential profit: $7.27
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the February Meeting?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.2
Potential profit: $7.2
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will Jason Cherry win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.74
Potential profit: $6.74
User PnL: -$0.4

Under position

SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.5
Potential profit: $6.5
User PnL: -$1.71

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.19
Potential profit: $6.19
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

Will Arthur Fils be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $6.1
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Félix Auger-Aliassime be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $5.95
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Jiří Lehečka be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $6.06
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the Social Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.09
Potential profit: $6.09
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.25–3.50 in December?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.51
Potential profit: $5.51
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 4, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will Leanne Morgan: Unspeakable Things win Best Comedy Special at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.2
Potential profit: $5.2
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will France win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 23m?

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.74

Yes position

Will Rio Ave FC vs. Casa Pia AC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.45

Yes position

Bill Ackman tweets another manifesto by November 30?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.72

Yes position

Will Morgan Wallen win Entertainer of the Year at the 59th annual CMA Awards?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.55

Yes position

Will Death Stranding 2: On the Beach win Best Game Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.44

Yes position

Will Trump attend UFC 323?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.86

Chuba Hubbard position

First Touchdown: Chuba Hubbard

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.55

No Touchdown position

First Touchdown: Chuba Hubbard

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Will between 217 and 218 U.S. House members vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Will New Zealand reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.79

Navy Midshipmen position

Air Force Falcons vs. Navy Midshipmen

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

Yes position

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the December meeting?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.33

Air Force Falcons position

Air Force Falcons vs. Navy Midshipmen

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.31

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ghislaine" or "Maxwell" this week? (November 17 – 23)

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.26

No position

Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Yes position

Will Meta (META) finish week of November 24 above $570?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.22

Yes position

Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.14

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.02

FC Groningen position

Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.9

Yes position

Will Shayne say "Domer" or "Domah" or "Car" or "aenews" during 60 Minutes?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will New Zealand reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67

No position

Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-03?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

Yes position

Will Trump say "Banana Republic" in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.5

Down position

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on November 17?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Sergei Pavlovich be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 5 shares
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?

Yes 33% 5 shares
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,090,000 and $1,100,000 by February 1?

Yes 25% 5 shares
Set Handicap: Cazaux (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5)

Cazaux 49% 5 shares
West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score

Yes 55% 2.08 shares
Monaco vs. Partizan

Monaco 86% 1.05 shares
Will England win?

No 66% 1.87 shares
Will England win?

No 66% 3.12 shares
Will Jensen Huang say "Quantum" 5+ times during NVIDIA keynote?

Yes 54% 1.03 shares
Suns vs. Rockets

Suns 27% 1.35 shares
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?

Yes 25% 3 shares
Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 19% 3.79 shares