Polymarket Trader

btsproof

0xb976b1cf4006189198c31726a3196680f82dc213

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.76K
Realized PnL: $5.1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

SpaceX position

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 89.1%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $166.77
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $247.49

Sri Lanka position

ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $202.86
Potential payout: $414
Potential profit: $211.14
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$124.2

No position

Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 40.8%
Current value: $103.33
Potential payout: $253
Potential profit: $149.67
Multiplier: 2.45x
User PnL: $37.8

Yes position

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $4.01
Potential payout: $211
Potential profit: $206.99
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$103.6

No position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $87.62
Potential payout: $99
Potential profit: $11.39
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $11.38

No position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $2.22
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$0.93

No position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.02
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $602.14

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $582.28

No position

Will Eva Victor - Sorry, Baby win Best First-Time Director of a Theatrical Feature Film at the 78th DGA Awards?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $571.2

Yes position

Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $440.7

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $420

Negative position

Bitcoin ETF Flows on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380.01

Tulane Green Wave position

Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers (W)

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.58

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ethanol" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $267.29

Under position

FK Oleksandriya vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $253.11

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 3 be between 1,900,000 and 2,100,000?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $193.73

No position

Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $132.78

Yes position

Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.66

Yes position

Will Jensen Huang say "Training" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.16

Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club position

Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.8

Yes position

Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $99.6

Penn State Nittany Lions position

Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Akron Zips

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $88.5

No position

Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.16

No position

Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $79.02

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 18?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.1

Yes position

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $61.39

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $51.47

Yes position

Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $44.4

Yes position

Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.6

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 27 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

No 20% 210 shares
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

No 20% 517 shares
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 66% 333 shares
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 66% 332 shares
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 68% 665 shares
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

No 22% 727 shares
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

No 63% 156 shares
Will "Ninja" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?

No 22% 663 shares
Will "Ninja" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?

No 22% 675 shares
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

No 71% 156 shares
Will "Ninja" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?

No 50% 1,338 shares
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

No 1.5% 64 shares