Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.34K
- Potential profit
- $23.34K
- User PnL
- -$1.58K
Polymarket Trader
E33IE
0xb998611537a93e17c82242008aeb4f71e2f8d9b2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $340.8
- Realized PnL
- $36.01
- Win rate
- 47.6%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.84K
- Potential profit
- $3.84K
- User PnL
- -$875
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $219.2
- Potential payout
- $3.37K
- Potential profit
- $3.15K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$454.8
Yes position
Interstellar object confirmed aliens?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- User PnL
- -$101.68
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $983.5
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$33.5
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $409.45
- Potential profit
- $409.45
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $350
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $340.91
- Potential profit
- $340.91
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $257.72
- Potential profit
- $257.72
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $81.58
- Potential payout
- $175.44
- Potential profit
- $93.86
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$18.42
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $23.52
- Potential payout
- $28.17
- Potential profit
- $4.65
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $3.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $501.47
Yes position
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $459.15
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.84
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.26
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.47
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.71
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.29
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59
Yes position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.21
Yes position
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$16.44
Yes position
Kash Patel out by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.83
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Multiplier
- 8.93x
- User PnL
- -$58.54
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$63.97
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
Ends Aug 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$84.99
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$199.84
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$253.9
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$499.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026?No 99% 500 shares
- Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026?No 99% 500 shares
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes 24.4% 409.44 shares
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes 5.5% 1,582.26 shares
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes 10.1% 1,582.26 shares
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes 17.2% 1,163.36 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 71% 410.96 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 71% 410.95 shares
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes 5% 2,001.16 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 12% 862.5 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 12.2% 400 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 13% 300 shares