Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $8.45K
- Potential profit
- $7.18K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$86.17
Polymarket Trader
srunml
0xb9a3d17ee0fb1ffb221124d1616cd97d8e34dc90
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.3K
- Realized PnL
- $40.55
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $35.53
- Potential payout
- $308.92
- Potential profit
- $273.4
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $2.15
- Potential profit
- $2.09
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- $76.33
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 11.5% 168.41 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 10.8% 1,560 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 11% 280 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 10.8% 1,639.09 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 11.1% 54.76 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 11.1% 10.17 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 11.2% 185.15 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 11% 5,909.55 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes 0.9% 109.11 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 11% 6,710 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 11% 8,700 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.8% 1,319.99 shares