Polymarket Trader

Manchild

@TomlinsHotDog

0xb9a74e3170401e578b1b9c8fabb49b05462ef50f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.22K
Realized PnL: $3.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $7.66K
Potential profit: $6.4K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $639.92

Yes position

Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $17.95
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $6.08

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $50.26
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.54
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$8.79

Yes position

Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$8.5

Yes position

Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.6%
Current value: $508.37
Potential payout: $853.68
Potential profit: $345.31
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $151.95

Yes position

Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $769.03
Potential profit: $767.88
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $342.69
Potential payout: $561.78
Potential profit: $219.09
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$26.6

Yes position

Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $540
Potential profit: $539.19
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will Anthony Hernandez be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $470
Potential profit: $469.3
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$64.74

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $359
Potential profit: $359
User PnL: -$3.82

Yes position

Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.3%
Current value: $79.25
Potential payout: $340.88
Potential profit: $261.63
Multiplier: 4.30x
User PnL: -$7.18

No position

Will Ilia Topuria be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $336.37
Potential payout: $337.38
Potential profit: $1.01
User PnL: $218.79

Yes position

Will George Pickens play for Dallas Cowboys in 2026-27?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $178.27
Potential payout: $315.57
Potential profit: $137.3
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will Reinier de Ridder be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $297.34
Potential profit: $297.19
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will Dan Hooker fight Paddy Pimblett next?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $253.6
Potential profit: $253.6
User PnL: -$57.48

Yes position

Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $170.62
Potential payout: $220.16
Potential profit: $49.54
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $75.87

Yes position

Will Maxx Crosby play for Chicago Bears next?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $218.64
Potential profit: $218.31
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$36.58

Under position

France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $210
User PnL: -$14.2

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $21.42
Potential payout: $205
Potential profit: $183.58
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: $15.27

No position

Will Magomed Ankalaev become UFC champion in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $160.1
Potential payout: $190.59
Potential profit: $30.49
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $41.48

Yes position

Will Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

Ends Jan 25, 2027

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $168.14
Potential profit: $166.21
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.78

No position

Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $86.56
Potential payout: $154.58
Potential profit: $68.02
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $16.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $764.85

Heads position

Big Game: Coin Toss

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $495

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $430.11

No position

Will Mike Macdonald win NFL Coach of the Year?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335.84

Yes position

Will the match end in a draw or not be completed?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.71

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.57

Yes position

Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.95

Texans position

Texans vs. Steelers: 1H Moneyline

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.48

Yes position

Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.74

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.56

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

No position

Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.54

Yes position

Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.44

Yes position

Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.66

Yes position

Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.44

Yes position

Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Paddy Pimblett next?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.84

Paulo Costa position

UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.34

Yes position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.22

No position

Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.2

Yes position

Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.42

Edwards position

UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Nora Cornolle (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

No position

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

Yes position

Will Jaxson Dart be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 8% 100 shares
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 62% 300 shares
Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings?

Yes 69.4% 27.26 shares
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal?

Yes 24% 100 shares
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5

Under 1% 100 shares
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5

Under 12% 10 shares
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5

Under 12% 100 shares
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5

Under 8.8% 79.42 shares
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Yes 37.1% 17.97 shares
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Yes 18.7% 18.16 shares
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Yes 64.3% 38 shares
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Yes 0.2% 847.97 shares