No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $16.64
- Potential payout
- $16.66
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.31
Polymarket Trader
0xB9Bff8aEA5AE56A8da8E2899516177064B31B743-1770102485477
0xb9bff8aea5ae56a8da8e2899516177064b31b743
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $31.6
- Realized PnL
- $8.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $14.96
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.84
- Potential profit
- $8.84
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or higher on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model for math on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Man Utd be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 1,715 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 30?No 98.9% 10.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on April 30?No 99% 10.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 30?No 94% 4.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or higher on April 30?No 98.6% 8.11 shares
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 1,715 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98% 16.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on April 3?No 99% 11.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on April 3?No 98.9% 9.99 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No 97.6% 9 shares
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.5% 15 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 3?No 99.4% 14.99 shares