Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $681.04
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $374.58
Polymarket Trader
Georgeamus1
0xb9c1ea9b9ae211e384e7128255e8387edb380791
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.06K
- Realized PnL
- $5.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $664.69
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $365.84
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $88.58
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $555
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $445
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $185
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $820.26
- Potential payout
- $994.26
- Potential profit
- $174
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $61.92
No position
Will Bukayo Saka be in England's Starting 11?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.7%
- Current value
- $505.3
- Potential payout
- $676.89
- Potential profit
- $171.59
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $398.34
No position
Will Tino Livramento be in England's Starting 11?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $635.88
- Potential payout
- $640.69
- Potential profit
- $4.81
- User PnL
- $11.21
Yes position
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $101.43
- Potential payout
- $563.52
- Potential profit
- $462.09
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$23.28
Yes position
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $24.41
- Potential payout
- $498.24
- Potential profit
- $473.83
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- -$30.39
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $53.86
- Potential payout
- $398.96
- Potential profit
- $345.1
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.99
No position
Will Ollie Watkins be in England's Starting 11?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $347.09
- Potential payout
- $355.99
- Potential profit
- $8.9
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $48.36
No position
Will Marc Guéhi be in England's Starting 11?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.9%
- Current value
- $247.46
- Potential payout
- $322
- Potential profit
- $74.54
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $131.69
Yes position
Will Jude Bellingham be in England's Starting 11?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.2%
- Current value
- $243.82
- Potential payout
- $319.98
- Potential profit
- $76.16
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $6.2
N
No position
Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $23.93
- Potential payout
- $319.1
- Potential profit
- $295.17
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$23.74
Yes position
Will Noni Madueke be in England's Starting 11?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $165.67
- Potential payout
- $276.12
- Potential profit
- $110.45
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $99.14
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $31.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $218.75
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$33.75
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $116.14
- Potential payout
- $229.99
- Potential profit
- $113.85
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $37.8
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $159.72
- Potential payout
- $223.38
- Potential profit
- $63.66
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $126.21
No position
Will Marcus Rashford be in England's Starting 11?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $183.78
- Potential payout
- $197.61
- Potential profit
- $13.83
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $67.16
Yes position
Will Enzo Maresca be the next manager of Manchester City FC?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $183.96
- Potential payout
- $186.1
- Potential profit
- $2.14
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $46.92
- Potential payout
- $183.99
- Potential profit
- $137.07
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $19.32
Yes position
Will Mohamed Salah play in Serie A next?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.2%
- Current value
- $79.39
- Potential payout
- $183.98
- Potential profit
- $104.59
- Multiplier
- 2.32x
- User PnL
- $66.25
Yes position
Will Anthony Gordon be in England's Starting 11?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $119.38
- Potential payout
- $163.53
- Potential profit
- $44.15
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$14.08
Yes position
Will John Stones be in England's Starting 11?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $72.11
- Potential payout
- $126.53
- Potential profit
- $54.42
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$24.29
Yes position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $111
- Potential profit
- $110.06
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$4.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Djed Spence be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $811
No position
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $660.88
Yes position
Will Massimiliano Allegri be the next manager of SSC Napoli?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $425.59
No position
Will Starmer say "Conservative" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.8
No position
Will Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.05
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.39
Yes position
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.89
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199
Yes position
Will Jean-Philippe Mateta sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $187.1
No position
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.77
No position
Will Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.77
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.85
Yes position
Will Marc-André ter Stegen sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.04
Yes position
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $145.56
No position
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.09
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.48
No position
Will Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.39
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 4+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.17
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during the Champion of Coal event?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.82
Yes position
Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.64
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Austerity" or "Spending Cut" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.5
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.46
No position
Will Jean-Philippe Mateta sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.31
Yes position
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Noni Madueke be in England's Starting 11?Yes 28% 25 shares
- Will Noni Madueke be in England's Starting 11?Yes 28.6% 45 shares
- Will John Stones be in England's Starting 11?Yes 78% 63.03 shares
- Will John Stones be in England's Starting 11?Yes 74.4% 63.5 shares
- Will Tino Livramento be in England's Starting 11?No 99.9% 114 shares
- Will Tino Livramento be in England's Starting 11?No 99.9% 200 shares
- Will Tino Livramento be in England's Starting 11?No 99% 35 shares
- Will Tino Livramento be in England's Starting 11?No 94.7% 291.69 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No 14% 398.96 shares
- Will Marc Guéhi be in England's Starting 11?No 62.1% 40 shares
- Will Noni Madueke be in England's Starting 11?Yes 47.3% 59.99 shares
- Will Nico O'Reilly be in England's Starting 11?Yes 84% 20 shares