Polymarket Trader

JaxOnly

0xb9d9bbd1a547341f8f7ad7bda6320a3bf6f02566

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.65
Realized PnL: $982.02
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.71
Potential profit: $143.71
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.58
Potential profit: $80.58
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $6.21
Potential payout: $71.9
Potential profit: $65.69
Multiplier: 11.57x
User PnL: -$23.79

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $13.44
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $49.06
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$6.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.72
Potential profit: $39.72
User PnL: -$19.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?

Ends Nov 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.22

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.47

KT Rolster position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68.33

No position

Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.92

No position

Will 'Final Fantasy 7 Rebirth' win Game of the Year?

Ends Dec 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.93

No position

Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Yes 32% 62.5 shares
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5

Over 53% 5 shares
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5

Over 54% 5 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 41.7% 71.9 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Yes 24.8% 80.58 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?

Yes 7% 143.71 shares
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?

Yes 90.9% 110.04 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 72% 166.66 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 60% 166.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on April 18?

Yes 93% 39.87 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 18?

Yes 95% 31.14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on April 18?

Yes 28% 3.39 shares