Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $363.42
- Potential payout
- $25.06K
- Potential profit
- $24.7K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$136.57
Polymarket Trader
0x44d10ad975c3b6b921badf9882e4c281a45c4ed3
0xb9e976e6eea209501c4b34773f6e624f1197e211
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.8K
- Realized PnL
- $13.94K
- Win rate
- 64.7%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $18.87K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.45K
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.61K
- Potential payout
- $17K
- Potential profit
- $15.38K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.68K
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.2%
- Current value
- $1.47K
- Potential payout
- $16.01K
- Potential profit
- $14.55K
- Multiplier
- 10.93x
- User PnL
- $465.31
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $765
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $8.24K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$135
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $814.68
- Potential payout
- $6.03K
- Potential profit
- $5.22K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.19K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $313.12
- Potential payout
- $3.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$972.31
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $139
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.86K
- Multiplier
- 14.39x
- User PnL
- -$41
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $90
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.91K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $101.79
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $969.64
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$48.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.06K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $818.18
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.59
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $428.57
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.87
No position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$207.12
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$288.76
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 14% 1,071.43 shares
- Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 2% 25,063.52 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 6.2% 16,014.2 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 62% 4,838.71 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 49.7% 6,034.67 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 55% 1,818.18 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 64.7% 3,089.01 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No 63% 4,761.9 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No 47% 4,255.32 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 45.7% 2,187.63 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 68% 1,470.59 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No 70% 1,428.57 shares