Polymarket Trader

Liod

0xb9ebc61344dd7460a1ec496fb7263dd6a4ac9701

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.45K
Realized PnL: $6.42K
Win rate: 26.3%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55K
Potential profit: $55K
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.59K
Potential profit: $28.59K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.11K
Potential profit: $21.11K
User PnL: -$1.8K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.23K
Potential profit: $14.23K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $950
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.05K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.23K
Potential profit: $8.23K
User PnL: -$332

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.21K
Potential profit: $7.21K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $5.88K
Potential profit: $4.72K
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $61.77

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $43.62
Potential payout: $4.85K
Potential profit: $4.8K
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$56.38

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76K
Potential profit: $4.76K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.82K
User PnL: -$200

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
User PnL: -$140.3

Yes position

Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $293.18
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$6.82

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≤3.1% in April?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$95.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $765.96
Potential profit: $765.96
User PnL: -$189.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.86
Potential profit: $169.86
User PnL: -$98.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.01
Potential profit: $167.01
User PnL: -$98.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.42
Potential profit: $62.42
User PnL: -$4.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $5.62K

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $3.61K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $504.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$21.74

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$33.5

Yes position

Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$36.6

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$40.02

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$55.55

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$73.53

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$83.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$112.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$199.99

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Multiplier: 7.12x
User PnL: -$404.23

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$749.99

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.29K

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.4K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 10% 10,000 shares
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 22% 1,363.64 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 113,043.47 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 18% 1,111.11 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 20% 1,000 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 24% 4,166.67 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 11% 1,818.18 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 166,652.8 shares
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Yes 8% 3,750 shares
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Yes 8% 6,250 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Down 0.1% 5,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Down 0.1% 25,000 shares