Polymarket Trader

0xB9F563D6970A37E604E2C9982EC4857E37388F3c-1761605581703

0xb9f563d6970a37e604e2c9982ec4857e37388f3c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $319.59
Realized PnL: $917.39
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.34
Potential payout: $537.39
Potential profit: $536.04
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $33.55
Potential payout: $268.4
Potential profit: $234.85
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$17.5

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $168.74
Potential payout: $249.99
Potential profit: $81.25
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $31.25

Yes position

Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $30.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $69.5
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $97.45
Potential profit: $96.14
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$8.68

Yes position

Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $25.73
Potential payout: $90.3
Potential profit: $64.57
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $12.18

Yes position

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $50.39
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $9.6
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $17.4

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $6.54
Potential payout: $33.54
Potential profit: $27
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$7.82

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $13.58
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.33

Yes position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $6.63
Potential profit: $6.58
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.98

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.37

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.51

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.48

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.5

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.37

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.53

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.36

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.8

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.49

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.82

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.53

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.6

No position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.5

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.64

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.63

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.07

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.25

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.79

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.36

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 33% 100 shares
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 3.9% 100 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?

Yes 46% 12.99 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?

Yes 41.4% 29 shares
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Yes 27% 200 shares
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 19.2% 200.02 shares
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 19.3% 200 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?

Yes 18% 99.75 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?

Yes 17% 30 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?

Yes 55% 12.32 shares
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 11.6% 86.38 shares
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 0.3% 1,345.03 shares