No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $8.33
- Potential payout
- $13.12
- Potential profit
- $4.79
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Polymarket Trader
BaleaSafado
0xba04735c10f476e20182a5d3809de57123e7e9b0
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $40.97
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $8
- Potential payout
- $9.41
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $9.41
- Potential profit
- $1.46
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $7.96
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $7.73
- Potential payout
- $8.89
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.35
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 59% 1.79 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?No 75.8% 10.84 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 56% 16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 70% 15.68 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 50% 16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 51% 15.69 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 61% 13.11 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 90% 10.25 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 60% 14.81 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 54% 14.81 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 78% 10.26 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 21.2% 36.52 shares